Wednesday, July 2, 2008

Honeywell Automation India Ltd


Honeywell Automation India Ltd (HAIL) provides integrated automation and software solutions and is playing on India’s economic growth by catering to a wide range of sectors. Its products are set to do well as other sectors in the country develop. If we consider the annualised earnings per share (EPS) of March 07 quarter amounting to Rs 71.6, the PE is reasonable at 23.3, which is much lower than the growth potential of the company.

Products. The company’s product range caters to various fast-growing sectors in India. HAIL offers HVAC (heating, ventilation, air-conditioning) control systems, fire detection systems, security systems and Enterprise Building Integrator (EBI), which is expected to be the star growth driver for the company and should benefit from the uptick in the realty sector, airport modernisation and SEZs. Its Process Solutions division is expected to benefit from capacity expansion in the oil and gas, metal and cement sectors.

The company also services the fast-growing auto, medical instrumentation and IT sectors. If the Indian auto industry grows three times over the next 10 years, as expected, then Automotive-on-Board—a system that provides comprehensive solutions to the auto sector—should clock a healthy growth rate. HAIL’s sensors also find applications in construction, mining and defence sectors. The Global Services division meets the outsourcing requirements of the parent company as well as global clients.

Performance. After a subdued performance in 2004, Honeywell got its act together in a big way and showed a huge spurt on all financial parameters for 2005. In 2006, its growth rates were quite good yet tempered due to the high base effect of 2005.

The March 2007 quarter performance was subdued on the profitability front with only a 4.7 per cent rise in operating profit and 13.7 per cent rise in net profit to Rs 22.3 crore and Rs 15.8 crore, respectively (both year-on-year). The comforting factor is that HAIL clocked sales of Rs 189 crore, a respectable y-o-y growth of 21.9 per cent. The pressure on profitability is most likely to be a one off event but the trend over the next few quarters will be closely monitored and the recommendation will be reviewed if the need arises.

Honeywell Building Solutions, another division of the company, is expected to achieve $1 billion revenue by 2010. If the expectation is scaled down to be achieved only by the company, and not by the single division, it still implies a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in revenue of about 60 per cent for the next four years. The profit should grow even faster when you consider the steady improvement in the company’s operating profit margin which has spurted over the past two years from 5.7 per cent to 13.5 per cent. At the current market price of Rs 1,680.60, the stock has a trailing 12 months (TTM) EPS of about Rs 66 and trades at a trailing PE of around 25.31.

Investment rationale. The stock is a prospective open offer candidate with promoters holding 81 per cent of the stake. The stake hike came in July 2004 when Honeywell Asia Pacific bought the Tata group’s 40.6 per cent stake for around Rs 125 crore. In less than three years, the company’s market capitalisation has risen almost five fold, from Rs 310 crore to around Rs 1,460 crore, making it an excellent wealth creator. Make staggered purchases with a long-term view on the stock. It will definitely be a honey pot for patient investors.
(Source: Internet)

1 comment:

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